OpenAI P50 time horizon hits 4.7 hours as of July 2026, beyond usual METR methodology

scaling01 · x · 2026-09-06

scaling01 cites data showing OpenAI's P50 time horizon — the median task length a model can reliably complete — reached 4.7 hours as of July 2026, noting this is no longer measured under the usual METR methodology, implying a shift in definition or measurement approach. Time horizon is a core metric for tracking AI capability growth, and P50 crossing multi-hour scale is a notable capability signal.

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