Polymarket opens GPT-7 market: 76% odds for release by end of 2027, 26% by June
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-06
Polymarket has launched a prediction market on when OpenAI releases GPT-7.
- By June 30, 2027: Yes trades at 26¢ (26% implied probability), volume $3,205
- By December 31, 2027: Yes at 76¢ (76%), volume $4,642
Resolution rules are detailed: the model name must include "GPT" with version 7 or higher (GPT-7, GPT-7 Astra, GPT-8 all qualify), and it must be publicly accessible (open beta or open waitlist counts; closed beta doesn't). Task-specific lines like Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime don't qualify. The rules also name OpenAI's internal general-purpose families — Astra, Sol, Terra, Luna — as qualifying model lines (unconfirmed as official codenames).
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