Polymarket Puts Only 22% Odds on Tesla Launching California Robotaxis by Year-End
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-06
Polymarket gives Tesla just a 22% chance of publicly launching a driverless robotaxi service in California by end of 2026. Tesla holds only a basic DMV testing permit requiring a safety driver and operates Bay Area rides under a standard charter-party permit, with zero qualifying autonomous test miles logged in the state and no applications for driverless or commercial deployment permits. Separately, Elon Musk confirmed Cybercab riders will be able to plug in a PlayStation or Xbox while traveling.
Related event: Polymarket Prices Tesla's 2026 California Robotaxi Launch at ~23%(2 posts)→
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