How bad could AI harm get? Thalidomide-to-Fukushima analogy anchors a 2030 bet
Squee451 · x · 2026-09-06
A debate on the magnitude of AI-caused harm: one user argues killing millions by hacking drones would be hard—there aren't many and takeoff likely needs human help—and analogizes to Thalidomide (thousands dead) vs. Fukushima (zero), expecting AI hacking to fall in that wide range. Another counters they'd bet heavily on AI-related deaths by 2030 counting critical-service takedowns or pandemic assistance.
Related event: Timothy Lee vs Seth Lazar debate how bad rogue AI can get(20 posts)→
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