Debate: no good reason to put an upper bound on rogue AI extinction risk

binarybits · x · 2026-09-06

Responding to Seth Lazar's objection that risk estimates are 'just vibes', binarybits argues that once you accept rogue AI is a real threat, there's no good a priori reason to place a tight upper bound on its magnitude — the crux of an ongoing debate over quantifying extinction risk and when extreme intervention is justified.

Related event: Timothy Lee vs Seth Lazar debate how bad rogue AI can get(20 posts)→

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