Polymarket Puts AI Bubble Bursting This Year at Just 11%
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-06
Polymarket's "AI bubble burst by Dec 31, 2026" market trades at 11% Yes on $2.95M volume. Resolution requires three of: NVDA -50% from ATH, SOXX -40%, OpenAI/Anthropic bankruptcy or acquisition, H100 rental at $1 for five days, or a major AI hardware supplier down 50%.
More from Venture
- Tesla skeptic turns bullish: FSD near-perfect, Cybercab lines 4x faster than Model Y — pdamodaran · 2026-09-06
- Netskope Puts 46% of Sales Into R&D as ARR Hits $899M, Up 27% — shashib · 2026-09-06
- Meitu lured back a 25-year-old PM with $1.4M budget; his AI MV platform hit $500K ARR — 创业邦 · 2026-09-06
- Japan says $550B U.S. investment pact advancing, AI and semiconductors to play major role — Polymarket · 2026-09-06
- AI has added 1M+ US jobs since 2023, vs ~200k losses in repetitive roles — beffjezos · 2026-09-06
- ML book author Andriy Burkov on the millions of downloads he never counted — burkov · 2026-09-06