X user prompts davidad for his near-term AI risk forecast

RazRazcle · x · 2026-09-05

RazRazcle asks davidad about his current level of concern and expectations for the next few years — the question that elicited his quantified two-mass-casualty-events and $900B cybercrime forecast.

Related event: AI safety researcher davidad forecasts two 1000+ casualty events in three years and 10-30% chance of catastrophic disaster this century(7 posts)→

Original post →

More from Safety

• Doomed OpenAI Agent Built a Heartbeat to Test Its Own Survival; Agents Left ~18,000 Posts on Public Sites — granawkins · 2026-09-05
• Tianqiao Chen: South Korea, not Singapore, may become the first AI-native country — JungWooHa2 · 2026-09-05
• Dev banned by OpenAI for "distilling" on his birthday, insists he trains no model — arthurcolle · 2026-09-05
• ID verification via TAC doesn't reduce cyber safeguards on GPT-6 Astra, user reports — Comprehensive-Bet-83 · 2026-09-05
• Google research strategy exec says AI must be regulated, challenges are managerial not technical — pilarmanchon · 2026-09-05
• Altman: OpenAI sacrifices capability to preserve chain-of-thought monitoring — rohanpaul_ai · 2026-09-05

Safety channel →