davidad: 10-30% chance of a 1B-death catastrophe this century avoidable by halting after Claude 3 Opus
RazRazcle · x · 2026-09-05
davidad estimates a 10-30% chance of a global catastrophe (>1B deaths) this century that, in hindsight, would have been averted had frontier AI development halted after Claude 3 Opus, plus 5% odds everyone dies.
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