Prediction market: param count of the smallest Astra-class reasoning model in 12 months
teortaxesTex · x · 2026-09-04
AI commentator teortaxesTex poses a prediction question: using the formula sqrt(total B × active B), what will the parameter count of the smallest Astra-class reasoning model (leaked or disclosed) be in 12 months? Examples: hypothetical DS-V4-Flash = 60B, V4-Pro = 280B, K3 = 540B, and a 10T-total/250B-active "Mythos Preview" = 1581B. The thread extends into a bet on the strongest lab/model by Q3 2027.
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