Predictions on open-weight frontier models and shrinking reasoning model sizes

AI community member teortaxesTex predicts that by Q3 2027 the strongest lab will release its strongest open-weight model, and raises the question of how small Astra-level reasoning models will be within a year.

2026-09-04 ~ 2026-09-04 · 2 related posts

• Prediction: The Strongest Lab's Strongest Model Will Be Openly Downloadable by Q3 2027 — teortaxesTex · 2026-09-04
• Prediction market: param count of the smallest Astra-class reasoning model in 12 months — teortaxesTex · 2026-09-04