Polymarket: 18% chance of orbital data center launch by 2027

Polymarket · x · 2026-08-31

Polymarket shows an 18% probability that an orbital data center will be launched by the end of next year, with similar odds for 2027. The market defines an "orbital data center" as a spacecraft carrying at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators. Momentum is driven by terrestrial power and cooling constraints, with players like NVIDIA-backed Starcloud, Google's Project Suncatcher, and SpaceX advancing hardware and regulatory filings.

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