METR estimates 3.5-month doubling time for AI capabilities
dfrsrchtwts · x · 2026-08-22
A user noted METR used a 3.5-month doubling time estimate and stopped featuring the "7-month" metric prominently. METR confirmed that doubling times have been faster since mid-2024, looking more like 4 months based on their data.
Related event: METR Task-Horizon Doubling Time Shrinks to ~4 Months(3 posts)→
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