METR Time Horizon Doubling Time May Be Closer to 4 Months
dfrsrchtwts · x · 2026-08-22
Challenging the meme that 'METR time horizons double every 7 months,' an analysis of the plot suggests that doubling times have accelerated since mid-2024, appearing to be closer to 4 months based on rough calculations.
Related event: METR Task-Horizon Doubling Time Shrinks to ~4 Months(3 posts)→
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