Derya moves his reverse-aging prediction up to 2040, blaming early AGI

DeryaTR_ · x · 2026-08-18

AI researcher Derya predicted 20 years ago that aging would be reversed by 2045 and was called crazy. He now thinks he was too conservative and has moved the date to 2040 because AGI arrived earlier than he expected.

In a podcast interview he stressed the future is not guaranteed: a golden age for humanity is in sight, but academia is failing to adapt to the pace AI enables—without adaptation there is no shot at curing aging this century—and trillions must be invested into collecting the data superintelligence will need to solve biology.

He is also involved with the Vitalism Foundation, which argues aging gets 1% the attention it deserves versus $300B/year in cancer R&D, and aims to 100x attention via a strategic network coordinating key individuals, businesses, nonprofits, media and policy bodies.

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