Polymarket: 13% chance US blocks major Chinese AI model by year-end
Polymarket · x · 2026-08-15
Polymarket data shows a 13% chance that the US government will take formal action (legislation, executive order, export controls) to remove general public access to a major Chinese AI model by the end of 2026. The market defines "major Chinese AI model" (e.g., DeepSeek, Baidu ERNIE) and specifies criteria for what constitutes a removal of access.
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