Polymarket Sees Just 13% Odds of US Banning Chinese AI Models or Passing AI Safety Law

Polymarket puts the odds of the US formally banning a major Chinese AI model by the end of 2026 at just 13%, with the probability of Congress passing an AI safety bill this year also at 13%, reflecting low market expectations for US AI regulation and China restrictions.

2026-08-15 ~ 2026-08-16 · 2 related posts

• Polymarket: 13% chance US blocks major Chinese AI model by year-end — Polymarket · 2026-08-15
• Polymarket: 13% chance U.S. enacts AI safety bill by year-end — Polymarket · 2026-08-16