Polymarket Bettors Give Grok 5 Under 70% Chance of Releasing by End of 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-08-13
According to Polymarket prediction contracts for xAI's next flagship model, bettors are heavily leaning against a near-term release for Grok 5.
- Probability of release before Aug 15: <1%.
- Probability of release before Aug 31: 4%.
- Probability of release before Dec 31: 68%.
The market specifies that iterative updates to the Grok 4 series (like Grok 4.6 or 4.7) will not qualify. It must be a publicly accessible model explicitly branded as Grok 5.
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