METR Capability Curve Predicts Infinite Task Success as Models Reach Superhuman Levels
geoffreyirving · x · 2026-08-05
AI researcher Geoffrey Irving points out that the default behavior of the METR capability curve is not linear, but rather trends towards infinity in finite time. He explains that once models become reliably superhuman, they will achieve a near-infinite success rate on tasks where humans only succeed 50% of the time.
Related event: Expert Clarifies METR Model Capability Curve is Non-Linear(2 posts)→
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