Humanoid Robot Production Could Reach 50M in 5 Years, Driven by Scaling Effects
willccbb · x · 2026-08-04
Responding to skepticism about manufacturing 50 million humanoid robots in 5 years, a developer drew parallels to massive global supply chains. They noted that Apple ships 100 million iPhones in just three months, and the auto industry produces 50 million new cars every three years.
They argued that the initial production of the first million robots will significantly accelerate the rest by streamlining the process. Consequently, the industry will either stall below 1 million units or explode past 50 million, spending no more than 1-2 years bridging that gap.
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