AIES 2026 Paper Derives Mathematical UBI Threshold Tied to AI Capabilities

aran_nayebi · x · 2026-08-01

A paper accepted to AIES 2026 explores the institutional conditions necessary for gains from AI capabilities to be broadly shared across society.

The central question is whether Universal Basic Income (UBI) can remain feasible even if AI fully automates existing jobs without creating new ones. The authors derive a closed-form UBI threshold tied directly to AI capabilities. The research suggests that UBI could potentially be achievable by mid-century, even under moderate AI growth assumptions.

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