Polymarket Odds of AI Bubble Bursting by 2026 Stand at 23%
Polymarket · x · 2026-07-31
Prediction market Polymarket currently prices a 23% chance that the AI industry will experience a major downturn by the end of 2026.
The market's strict resolution criteria require at least three specific events to occur within a 90-day window, including a 50% drop in NVDA stock from its ATH, OpenAI or Anthropic declaring bankruptcy, OpenAI being acquired, or H100 rental prices falling to $1.00/day.
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