Polymarket Prices 23% Chance of AI Bubble Bursting by 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-07-30
Prediction market Polymarket estimates a 23% probability that the AI industry will experience a downturn by the end of 2026. Resolution requires at least three specific events occurring within a 90-day window, including NVIDIA's stock dropping 50% from its peak, OpenAI going bankrupt or being acquired, H100 rental prices falling to $1.00 or less, or major hardware suppliers like TSMC seeing a 50% stock decline.
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