Polymarket Odds Suggest a 27% Chance of an AI Bubble Burst by 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-07-30
Prediction market Polymarket currently prices the probability of an AI industry downturn by the end of 2026 at 27%.
The market's resolution criteria are strict, requiring at least three major events to occur within a 90-day window: a 50% drop in NVDA from its ATH, a 40% drop in SOXX, OpenAI bankruptcy or acquisition, or H100 rental prices falling below $1.00 per hour.
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