Polymarket Bettors See 20% Chance of AI Bubble Bursting by 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-07-30
Prediction market Polymarket currently prices a 20% probability that the AI industry will experience a severe downturn by the end of 2026.
The market's strict resolution criteria require at least three events to occur within 90 days: NVIDIA's stock dropping 50% from its ATH, OpenAI going bankrupt or being acquired, H100 rental prices falling below $1.00/hour, or major hardware suppliers like TSMC and ASML seeing a 50% stock decline.
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