AI may crack the reproducible core of research with only a 1-in-100 hit rate
RexDouglass · x · 2026-07-29
The post argues that AI may eventually master the non-self-referential parts of research if there is a rigorous, replicable core to find.
The key claim is probabilistic: if a system only needs to be right 1 in 100 times, it may already be useful; even 1 in 200 could still matter, while 1 in 50 would be enough to make many jobs vulnerable.
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