Rebuttal says Yudkowsky’s ASI doom view is 99%, not 100%
davidmanheim · x · 2026-07-27
A rebuttal to a critique of Eliezer Yudkowsky argues that he does not think ASI has a 100% chance of killing everyone—his view is closer to 99%. The post says that being a Bayesian does not mean treating every outcome as a coin toss, and frames the criticism as missing the point of probabilistic reasoning under uncertainty.
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