AI Futures’ “slow down” scenario still assumes about 90% annual GDP growth
ben_j_todd · x · 2026-07-25
AI Futures’ so-called “slow down” plan for AI still assumes extremely rapid economic expansion — around 90% annual GDP growth in the model’s path.
The chart compares the model’s output trajectory from 2025 to 2040 against 2%, 30%, and 100% growth benchmarks. The post’s point is that even a “slower” AI future is still far more aggressive than what many slowdown advocates seem to expect, which says a lot about how AI-risk thinking is being framed by people who are already heavily AGI-pilled.
Related event: AI Futures Slowdown Path Assumes Massive Output(4 posts)→
More from AGI Musings
- Understanding the AI consciousness debate: which theory of mind is behind it — msharmas · 2026-10-27
- dunkhippo33 Shares How He Thinks About Raising Kids in the AI Era — kimmonismus · 2026-10-27
- EE-trained AI educator: systems-bottleneck thinking still matters in the AI era — dunkhippo33 · 2026-10-27
- Why Americans pitch better: a lifetime of class presentations, says AI educator — dunkhippo33 · 2026-10-27
- 'Half the sites I try via agents block access' — the anti-bot paradox holding back the agentic economy — XFreeze · 2026-10-27
- Commoditization dilemma: either human labor or GPUs become the commodity — _AustinCalvert_ · 2026-10-27