Hans Moravec’s 1988 prediction of human-level AI in 2028 looks oddly current
matdryhurst · x · 2026-07-24
This quote cites roboticist Hans Moravec’s 1988 prediction that human-level AI would arrive in 2028, followed by humanity’s retirement.
The poster jokes that it is startling to realize Moravec is still alive while the first half of that prediction now appears to be coming true, making the old forecast feel newly relevant again.
More from AGI Musings
- Reddit post argues superintelligent AI should never control critical infrastructure — VegetableAd8024 · 2026-07-24
- The AI “works or not” debate is really about two different objects — _FelixSimon_ · 2026-07-24
- AI is creating a two-tier information system, with search users and frontier-model users — _FelixSimon_ · 2026-07-24
- Frontier models may be better for information seeking, if you push them for sources — _FelixSimon_ · 2026-07-24
- AI users are building their own systems to preserve useful thinking, not chat history — DeepakSingh550 · 2026-07-24
- If AI replaces junior work, the next generation of senior engineers may disappear — Franc0Fernand0 · 2026-07-24