Polymarket puts a 34% chance on Optimus launching by year-end
Polymarket · x · 2026-07-23
Polymarket now puts the odds of Optimus being released by the end of the year at 34%, following Tesla’s claim that it has started installing its first production lines.
The post is essentially a market read on the same Optimus manufacturing milestone, showing that traders are assigning meaningful but far from certain odds to a year-end launch.
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