Polymarket puts a 7% chance on OpenAI declaring AGI this year
Polymarket · x · 2026-07-23
A Polymarket snapshot puts the odds of OpenAI announcing it has achieved AGI this year at 7%. The post is mostly tongue-in-cheek, but the underlying signal is a public market price on how seriously people are taking the AGI timeline.
Related event: Polymarket Prices OpenAI's Chance of Announcing AGI This Year at Under 10%(2 posts)→
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