Polymarket Prices OpenAI's Chance of Announcing AGI This Year at Under 10%

Prediction market Polymarket estimates the probability of OpenAI announcing AGI by the end of the year at a mere 7% to 10%. This conservative betting reflects the public market's realistic pricing and skepticism regarding the AGI timeline.

2026-07-23 ~ 2026-07-24 · 2 related posts

• Polymarket puts a 7% chance on OpenAI declaring AGI this year — Polymarket · 2026-07-23
• Polymarket puts a 10% chance on OpenAI announcing AGI by year-end — Polymarket · 2026-07-24