If AI massively boosts the economy, surpassing humans in everything is near
RyanGreenblatt · x · 2026-07-22
Responding to Vitalik's thoughts on "AI acceleration optimism," the author argues that if AIs massively grow the economy (e.g., 5x within a decade) and accelerate scientific progress, we will inevitably get AIs that match or exceed humans at everything soon.
Key arguments include:
- Generality is required for massive growth: It seems highly unlikely to sustain this level of economic growth and progress without AIs becoming extremely general.
- Compute and focus scale: In a regime with rapid tech progress, massive amounts of compute (far exceeding 2030 projections), and huge economic focus on AI, it won't take long to surpass human capabilities even if the current paradigm fails.
- Current paradigm potential: The current paradigm likely has more capability to unlock than skeptics assume.
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