Token prices keep falling 10x a year, but enterprise AI bills still blow past budget

vaibhavbetter · x · 2026-07-21

The post argues that model matching, not cost-cutting, will remain the most effective way to optimize inference spend as usage keeps rising.

It cites the idea that token prices have been falling roughly 10x per year, with a unit of inference that cost $60 per million tokens in 2020 now costing pennies. But despite that drop, many enterprises are still over budget on AI because demand expands faster than unit costs fall — a Jevons-paradox-style dynamic.

Related event: Falling AI Costs Trigger Jevons Paradox, Driving Up Compute Demand(3 posts)→

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