The Upward Trend in Model Innovation Will Continue

menhguin · x · 2026-07-19

The author clarifies that they don't know exactly what frontier labs are currently working on, making it impossible to pinpoint when model innovation will plateau. However, they expect the current upward trend to continue as we enter a new phase: **models themselves are starting to perform ablations**. This means model capabilities are now actively participating in subsequent research and optimization, further driving model iteration.

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