Don't Underestimate the Steepness of the AI Capability Curve
emollick · x · 2026-07-19
The author argues that people are too focused on which companies and countries are currently winning, and how to control costs, while ignoring that the AI capability curve is still rising rapidly.
He emphasizes that at high capability levels, many things will change rapidly. This reply reinforces the core judgment: even if models perform "unevenly" now, capability improvements over the next year could still be exceptionally steep.
Related event: Experts Warn AI Capability Curve Remains Steeply Upward(4 posts)→
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