RSI Paper Rebutted: No Sign of Intelligence Explosion
basedjensen · x · 2026-07-16
This retweet rebuts a paper/discussion about Recursive Self-Improvement (RSI) in AI: the opposing view holds that model capabilities grow with a very slow power law and will not lead to a rapid "intelligence explosion."
The gist of the cited content:
- The team or others may do better in the future, but current results show no exponential growth close to 1.0.
- Truly runaway self-improvement requires a growth exponent close to 1.
- Real-world improvements may be worse than the formula suggests, as it only holds for a specific training set and metric, not general ability.
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