Does AI Replace or Complement Jobs?
Dan_Jeffries1 · x · 2026-07-15
The article cites Noah's perspective: technologists often misjudge whether AI will replace or complement a specific profession.
He points to Geoffrey Hinton's prediction that radiologists would be wiped out by AI within years. In reality, AI has complemented radiologists' capabilities in the short term, leading to increased hiring and salaries. Using this counterexample, the article questions the logic of trusting technologists to consciously design AI with specific labor market effects, given how unpredictable the impact of the previous AI wave actually was.
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