Bayesian Forecasting Details in Appendix J
sirbayes · x · 2026-07-14
The author notes that further details can be found in appendix J of the paper. In context, this refers to the previously mentioned forecasting method—which uses an LLM to estimate log-likelihood ratios for recursive Bayesian updating—along with its performance comparisons against heuristic baselines.
Related event: Bayesian Prediction Updating Method Using LLMs(3 posts)→
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