Will AI Surpass Humans in Non-Physical Tasks Within a Decade?
ajeya_cotra · x · 2026-07-14
The core viewpoints shared are:
- Many economists believe AI has a >10% chance of surpassing human performance in almost all non-physical tasks within a decade.
- If this occurs, it will be an unprecedented shock to human society.
- Therefore, the economics field should treat this issue with a level of urgency comparable to WWII or COVID.
Related event: 200+ Scholars and 16 Nobel Laureates Urge Action on AI Economic Shock(43 posts)→
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