Space Data Centers Unlikely in the Near Term

VraserX · x · 2026-07-12

The author argues that **space data centers** are unlikely to become a reality before the **mid-2030s**. Their reasoning: even based on Google's optimistic estimates, **launch costs** would need to drop below **$200/kg** to be viable. Furthermore, critical components like **thermal management, maintenance, and orbital networking** currently lack large-scale validation. They conclude that while Elon Musk might "launch a GPU into space next year," it doesn't mean space data centers are commercially viable.

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