Questioning the AI 2040 Slowdown Narrative
EigenGender · x · 2026-07-12
This post offers a substantive critique of the "AI 2040" narrative: the author argues that the so-called "technology slowdown" is unlikely to happen.
If the slowdown assumption fails, the implications could be:
- The US and current safety-focused labs may not maintain their lead long-term
- More aggressive, faster-progressing players could regain dominance
- This would alter judgments about future AI competition and safety paths
The core point is not simply bullish or bearish, but questions the premise that "slowdown can occur stably."
Related event: Scholars Question AI Doom Predictions and Slowdown Assumptions(3 posts)→
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