Debating Plan A's Compute Overcapacity Risk
AdrienLE · x · 2026-07-10
This post comments on a core concern regarding Plan A: dry tinder.
The author argues that Plan A will accumulate massive excess compute and algorithmic capacity, potentially accelerating an intelligence explosion. The proposed countermeasure is Mutually Assured Compute Destruction (MACD). However, they are skeptical about two things: whether MACD can be executed quickly and reliably, and whether nations will actually adhere to such constraints. The author also notes providing feedback on the Plan A draft, adding that while the final version improved its analysis of the dry tinder issue, the core problem remains.
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