Jagged AI Frontier: Human Task Time Doesn't Equal AI Difficulty
rohanpaul_ai · x · 2026-07-06
Analysis indicates that the degree of automation for remote labor doesn't scale linearly with the human time required for a task. A 60-hour professional task might contain massive amounts of productive work easily compressed by tools, making it easier for an agent to complete. Conversely, a 2-hour task might require judgment that models simply lack. This shows the AI capability frontier is "jagged" rather than a smooth ladder, undermining the reliability of time-horizon forecasts based on human completion times.
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