Microsoft Cloud Outage Exceeds 15 Hours, Analysts Predict Extended Downtime

Microsoft's cloud services have been down for over 15 hours, with analysts estimating widespread SLA violations. Based on the observation that outage durations follow a log-normal or Pareto distribution rather than a Gaussian one, the remaining recovery time should roughly equal the elapsed time, suggesting restoration around 10 PM.

2026-11-13 ~ 2026-11-13 · 2 related posts

• Microsoft outage ETA: cloud outage durations follow lognormal/Pareto, so expect it to last as long again — esrtweet · 2026-11-13
• Microsoft cloud outage hits 15 hours, analyst predicts SLA breaches and 10 p.m. recovery — esrtweet · 2026-11-13