Frontier AI Progress Outpaces AI-2027 Forecasts

Multiple observers comparing METR task-length tracking data report that real AI progress is running ahead of the aggressive AI-2027 forecast, with Anthropic's internal Model 4 reportedly leading the predicted curve by about six weeks.

2026-11-12 ~ 2026-11-13 · 2 related posts

• AI progress tracker: Anthropic's internal Model 4 runs ~6 weeks ahead of AI-2027 scenario — haider1 · 2026-11-12
• Anthropic's internal model 4 runs ~6 weeks ahead of AI-2027 curve, claim circulates — haider1 · 2026-11-13