Community pushes back on 90% confidence AGI-by-2027 forecast

User austinc3301 challenged a 90%-confidence AGI-by-end-of-2027 forecast, arguing it is too high and not conditioned on assumptions like absent policy intervention.

2026-11-11 ~ 2026-11-11 · 2 related posts

• Pushback on a 90% Confidence AGI-by-End-of-2027 Forecast — austinc3301 · 2026-11-11
• Critique: Was That 90% AGI Forecast Conditioned on No Policy Intervention? — austinc3301 · 2026-11-11