Independent Test: AI Acceleration Predates Mythos by Four Months

An independent analysis of METR's November 2026 AECI data finds that AI acceleration began about four months before the larger Mythos pretrained model appeared, undermining Cohen's hypothesis that RL merely catches up to bigger pretraining.

2026-11-10 ~ 2026-11-10 · 2 related posts

• Testing the RL hypothesis with METR data: AI speedup started ~4 months before Mythos — austinc3301 · 2026-11-10
• Testing the "RL catching up to bigger pretrains" hypothesis against METR timelines — austinc3301 · 2026-11-10