GovAI estimates open-weight models trail closed ones by ~7 months in bio capabilities

GovAI researcher Hanna Palya estimates that the strongest open-weight general models lag closed-source models by about 7 months on third-party biological benchmarks, though she notes the estimate carries substantial uncertainty.

2026-10-21 ~ 2026-10-21 · 2 related posts

• Open-weight models trail closed models by ~7 months on biology benchmarks, GovAI finds — Manderljung · 2026-10-21

1 near-duplicate retellings: Manderljung