VC dunkhippo33 advises angel portfolios of 50 to 100 companies
Investor dunkhippo33 posted a long angel investing thread on October 12, tackling the question of how many companies an angel investor needs to back to have a shot at landing a big winner. His advice: early-stage angels should build a portfolio of 50 to 100 companies.
Confirmed
- The rationale is that roughly 9/10 startups fail, so you need enough shots on goal to reasonably hit a super-winner; he admits the 50-100 number often sounds crazy to people.
- He believes both the "spray and pray" camp and the "concentrated bets" camp are right — it depends on whether a company has reached product-market fit: companies with validated PMF can warrant concentrated bets.
- Ordinary people can do angel investing too — no need to be super wealthy: spread the 50-100 company portfolio over 5-10 years, i.e., 5-20 investments per year.
- He believes consistently investing across bull and bear cycles is itself the best way to invest.
Why it matters
- dunkhippo33 cautions that the first few years will feel awful: failed companies shut down first, while winners may take 10+ years to show their scale, so sticking with building the entire portfolio is the premise that makes this strategy work.
- The thread offers everyday investors a quantifiable, actionable path into angel investing, breaking down a seemingly high-barrier asset class into a long-term discipline of 5-20 deals per year.
2026-10-12 ~ 2026-10-12 · 9 related posts
Primary sources
- VC argues angel investors need 50-100 company portfolios to hit a big winner — dunkhippo33 · 2026-10-12
- Spray and pray vs concentrated angel investing hinges on PMF, says VC — dunkhippo33 · 2026-10-12
- Round names are broken: AI startups raise $100m+ with no product — dunkhippo33 · 2026-10-12
- In 1997 Benchmark put $6.7M into eBay when it was already profitable — dunkhippo33 · 2026-10-12
- [source] Why angels should build 50-100 company portfolios: 9/10 fail — dunkhippo33 · 2026-10-12
- [source] Angel investor: build a portfolio of 50-100 companies to catch a big winner — dunkhippo33 · 2026-10-12
- Angel investing is a claw machine: drop 50 quarters and the law of large numbers works for you — dunkhippo33 · 2026-10-12
- [source] You don't need to be ultra-wealthy to angel invest: 5-20 companies a year over 5-10 years — dunkhippo33 · 2026-10-12
- Angel investing feels awful early: winners take 10+ years to show — dunkhippo33 · 2026-10-12