Anthropic Researcher Reviews Three Forecasting Misses

An Anthropic researcher, dioscuri, reviewed three of his past forecasting misses: video generation advanced far faster than expected, while agent capabilities arrived about 18 months later than he had predicted.

2026-09-29 ~ 2026-09-29 · 2 related posts

• Anthropic researcher lists three failed predictions on AI progress — dioscuri · 2026-09-29
• Researcher revisits his AI forecasts: video gen came easier, agents landed slower — dioscuri · 2026-09-29